Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020.
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Johnson HC, Gossner CM, Colzani E, Kinsman J, Alexakis L, Beauté J, Würz A, Tsolova S, Bundle N, Ekdahl K
Euro Surveill 25 (9) - [2020-03-00; online 2020-03-12]
Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the European Union and European Economic Area (EU/EEA) is becoming more likely. We provide scenarios for use in preparedness for a possible widespread epidemic. The EU/EEA is moving towards the 'limited sustained transmission' phase. We propose actions to prepare for potential mitigation phases and coordinate efforts to protect the health of citizens.
PubMed 32156332
DOI 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202
Crossref 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.9.2000202